
尽管人们预计随着数万枚新代币发放给项目内部人士,唐纳德·特朗普总统亲自背书的迷因币价格会下跌,但该币在上周末却大幅上涨。
特朗普在第二次就职典礼前夕推出的Trump币(迷因币)自上周五(当时有4000万枚新代币进入流通市场)以来已上涨10%。这一被称为代币解锁的事件本应通过增加供应量来压低迷因币价格,然而实际效果却截然相反。
代币解锁,是指在预先设定的时间周期后,特定群体(通常涵盖项目团队成员、早期投资者或顾问)得以免费获取或以较低成本获得分配的代币,并获准出售这些代币。这一机制是项目创始人向投资者保证他们不会“卷款跑路”的一种方式。“卷款跑路”是一种常见的骗局,即迷因币项目的团队成员一次性抛售所持代币,导致代币价格暴跌,使投资者血本无归。
根据该代币的官方网站信息,上周解锁的代币分配给了“创作者和CIC Digital”。虽然该代币的创作者身份尚不明确,但众所周知,CIC digital是一家与特朗普存在关联的公司。随着价值3.3亿美元的代币解锁,投资者担心这些持有者会立即抛售代币以获利。
尽管存在这些担忧,但据加密货币分析公司Chainalysis称,该团队目前尚未进行任何大规模的抛售。该公司向《财富》杂志表示:“截至美国东部时间周一下午1点,Chainalysis尚未检测到Trump币创作者的任何链上交易活动。”
研究公司Messari的分析师迪伦·贝恩(Dylan Bane)向《财富》杂志透露,代币团队对项目的承诺增强了人们对代币持久性的信心,进而促使投资者在周末纷纷回流。他表示:"鉴于Trump币价格并未下跌,也未出现大规模抛售,市场在定价时或许已将特朗普团队选择持有这些代币的可能性纳入考量。”
不过,贝恩补充道,这并不意味着该代币背后的团队永远不会抛售。尽管1月首发时推出了2亿枚代币,但在此后直至2028年期间,每隔数月便会有新一批代币解锁,届时代币总供应量将达到10亿枚。
贝恩说:“未来解锁的代币数量极为可观。因此,一旦价格走低,团队将遭受损失,毕竟他们手中的大部分代币仍处于锁定状态。”
投资者对特朗普迷因币的担忧并非毫无缘由。该币自入市便风波不断,在最初两天内,其价格从1.21美元飙升至75.35美元,总市值达到140亿美元。但此后不久,价格便开始暴跌,自1月19日以来已贬值90%。目前,该代币的价格为8.28美元。
根据Chainalysis为《纽约时报》撰写的分析报告,自特朗普迷因币推出后,投资者损失超过20亿美元。与此同时,据《金融时报》分析,与特朗普有关联的实体通过收取交易手续费以及出售代币本身,已获利3.5亿美元。
据该“迷因币”网站信息,到2028年所有代币解锁时,与特朗普有关联的两家实体——CIC Digital和Fight Fight Fight——将持有10亿枚Trump币中的80%。这意味着,以当前价格计算,特朗普团队有望从该项目中获利数十亿美元。
目前尚不清楚特朗普及其家人是否直接持有该代币,以及具体的持有数量。(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
尽管人们预计随着数万枚新代币发放给项目内部人士,唐纳德·特朗普总统亲自背书的迷因币价格会下跌,但该币在上周末却大幅上涨。
特朗普在第二次就职典礼前夕推出的Trump币(迷因币)自上周五(当时有4000万枚新代币进入流通市场)以来已上涨10%。这一被称为代币解锁的事件本应通过增加供应量来压低迷因币价格,然而实际效果却截然相反。
代币解锁,是指在预先设定的时间周期后,特定群体(通常涵盖项目团队成员、早期投资者或顾问)得以免费获取或以较低成本获得分配的代币,并获准出售这些代币。这一机制是项目创始人向投资者保证他们不会“卷款跑路”的一种方式。“卷款跑路”是一种常见的骗局,即迷因币项目的团队成员一次性抛售所持代币,导致代币价格暴跌,使投资者血本无归。
根据该代币的官方网站信息,上周解锁的代币分配给了“创作者和CIC Digital”。虽然该代币的创作者身份尚不明确,但众所周知,CIC digital是一家与特朗普存在关联的公司。随着价值3.3亿美元的代币解锁,投资者担心这些持有者会立即抛售代币以获利。
尽管存在这些担忧,但据加密货币分析公司Chainalysis称,该团队目前尚未进行任何大规模的抛售。该公司向《财富》杂志表示:“截至美国东部时间周一下午1点,Chainalysis尚未检测到Trump币创作者的任何链上交易活动。”
研究公司Messari的分析师迪伦·贝恩(Dylan Bane)向《财富》杂志透露,代币团队对项目的承诺增强了人们对代币持久性的信心,进而促使投资者在周末纷纷回流。他表示:"鉴于Trump币价格并未下跌,也未出现大规模抛售,市场在定价时或许已将特朗普团队选择持有这些代币的可能性纳入考量。”
不过,贝恩补充道,这并不意味着该代币背后的团队永远不会抛售。尽管1月首发时推出了2亿枚代币,但在此后直至2028年期间,每隔数月便会有新一批代币解锁,届时代币总供应量将达到10亿枚。
贝恩说:“未来解锁的代币数量极为可观。因此,一旦价格走低,团队将遭受损失,毕竟他们手中的大部分代币仍处于锁定状态。”
投资者对特朗普迷因币的担忧并非毫无缘由。该币自入市便风波不断,在最初两天内,其价格从1.21美元飙升至75.35美元,总市值达到140亿美元。但此后不久,价格便开始暴跌,自1月19日以来已贬值90%。目前,该代币的价格为8.28美元。
根据Chainalysis为《纽约时报》撰写的分析报告,自特朗普迷因币推出后,投资者损失超过20亿美元。与此同时,据《金融时报》分析,与特朗普有关联的实体通过收取交易手续费以及出售代币本身,已获利3.5亿美元。
据该“迷因币”网站信息,到2028年所有代币解锁时,与特朗普有关联的两家实体——CIC Digital和Fight Fight Fight——将持有10亿枚Trump币中的80%。这意味着,以当前价格计算,特朗普团队有望从该项目中获利数十亿美元。
目前尚不清楚特朗普及其家人是否直接持有该代币,以及具体的持有数量。(财富中文网)
译者:中慧言-王芳
President Donald Trump’s personally endorsed memecoin surged over the weekend, despite expectations that its price would tumble as tens of thousands of fresh tokens were released to project insiders.
$Trump, a memecoin launched by Trump in the lead up to his second inauguration, has gained 10% since Friday, when 40 million additional tokens were to be released into circulation. The event, known as a token unlock, was expected to depress the memecoin’s price by increasing its supply but it seems to have had the opposite effect.
Token unlocks are when a group of people—usually project team members, early investors or advisors—receive their allocated tokens for free or at a lower price after a predetermined amount of time and are allowed to sell them. Token unlocks are a way for project founders to guarantee to investors that they won’t do a rug pull—a common scam in which a memecoin project’s team members dump their holdings at once, tanking the token’s price and leaving investors holding the bag.
The tokens that were released last week were allocated to “creators and CIC digital,” according to the token’s website. While the identity of the token’s creators is unclear, CIC Digital is a company known to be affiliated with Trump. As the $330 million worth of tokens were unlocked, investors feared that these holders would immediately try to turn a profit by dumping the tokens into the market.
Despite these concerns, the team has not made any significant sales yet, according to crypto analysis firm Chainalysis. “As of 1 p.m. ET on Monday, Chainalysis hasn’t detected any on-chain actions from the creators of $Trump coins,” the firm told Fortune.
The token team’s perceived commitment to the project has led to increased confidence in the token’s longevity, leading investors to rush back over the weekend, Dylan Bane, an analyst at research firm Messari, told Fortune. “Because the price hasn’t gone down and a large-scale sale has not occurred, the markets might be pricing in the possibility that the Trump team just chooses to hold on to these tokens,” he said.
However, this does not mean that the team behind the token won’t ever sell, Bane added. While there were 200 million tokens released for the launch in January, there are staggered unlocks scheduled every few months until 2028, when the total supply of tokens will reach 1 billion.
“There’s a lot more to be unlocked,” Bane said. “So, if the price goes down, that’s not in the team’s interest since most of their tokens are not unlocked yet.”
Investors’ anxiety with Trump’s memecoin may be justified. The coin’s entry into the market was tumultuous, skyrocketing from $1.21 to $75.35 within its first two days, reaching a total market cap of $14 billion. But the coin’s price began to plummet soon after, and it has lost 90% of its value since Jan. 19. The token’s price now sits at $8.28.
In the aftermath of the launch, investors lost more than $2 billion, according to an analysis by Chainalysis for The New York Times. Meanwhile, Trump-affiliated entities have produced $350 million in revenue from trading fees and selling the token itself, according to an analysis conducted by the Financial Times.
According to the memecoin’s website, two Trump-affiliated entities—CIC Digital and Fight Fight Fight—will own 80% of the 1 billion total $Trump tokens once they are all unlocked in 2028. That would mean, at its current price, Trump’s team stands to walk away from the project with a profit in the billions of dollars.
It’s unclear how much of the token Trump and his family own directly, if at all.